Iran vs. Israel

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Israel’s Problem?

How Israel Keeps Us Safe

http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/02/how_israel_keeps_us_safe.html

and…

The [Obama administration] wants no part of an Israeli strike…  From a technical standpoint, there is no question that Israel could severely damage the Iranian nuclear program…  What ripples would ensue from a successful Israeli strike on Iran?  Iran probably would attempt to block the Straits of Hormuz…   and America would respond by destroying Iranian conventional military capabilities and infrastructure from the air…  In the absence of an American leadership willing to assert American strategic interests in the region, Israel well might save the United States.  In the long view of things, there is not much cause for optimism about the Muslim world.

http://atimes.com/atimes/Front_Page/NI18Aa01.html

and…

Genocides, unlike hurricanes, are predictable, says world expert.  And Iran is following the pattern

http://www.timesofisrael.com/genocides-unlike-hurricanes-are-predictable-says-world-expert-and-iran-is-following-the-pattern/

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For the first time, Iran’s highest-ranking military official has tied the reappearance of the last Islamic messiah to the regime being prepared to go to a war based on [Shiah Islamic] ideology.

http://www.wnd.com/2012/09/iran-official-big-war-means-mahdis-coming/print/

and…

The Iranian Plan to Annihilate the Jews

http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/02/the_iranian_plan_to_annihilate_the_jews.html

[The author of that article, Reza Kaahlili, is an Iranian (using a pseudonym) who is also a former CIA operative in Iran's Revolutionary Guard and the author of the award-winning book 'A Time to Betray.']

and…

“Mahdi, according to Shiite belief, will reappear at the time of Armageddon.”

http://www.wnd.com/2012/02/iran-warns-world-of-coming-great-event/print/

and…

Top Iranian Official: Iran Needs “24 Hours And An Excuse” To Annihilate Israel

http://washington.cbslocal.com/2012/10/04/top-iranian-official-iran-needs-24-hours-and-an-excuse-to-annihilate-israel/

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Verifiability:

The U.N. team [was refused ability to make] plans to inspect the country’s nuclear facilities and will only hold talks with officials in Tehran…

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/02/21/iran-says-un-nuke-inspectors-will-not-visit-sites/

and…

UN nuke agency reports failed Iran talks

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/I/IRAN_NUCLEAR?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-02-21-19-34-08

and…

The Futility of Trying to Wish Iran into Being Rational

http://pjmedia.com/blog/the-futility-of-trying-to-wish-iran-into-being-rational/?print=1

and…

“Of course, ‘rational’ can mean different things.  If one wants to annihilate Jews, it is rational to build Auschwitz and Treblinka.  If one wants to annihilate Israel, dominate the Middle East, and eventually bring the West including the United States to its knees, it is rational to build nuclear weapons, a far-flung navy, and intercontinental ballistic missiles as Iran is doing.  It is also rational to realize, and exploit the fact, that one is essentially dealing with the same West that Hitler dealt with in the 1930s — just as weak-kneed, delusive, and eager to be duped.“

http://frontpagemag.com/2012/05/03/the-west%E2%80%99s-rational-iran-fest/print/

and…

Iran talks end in harsh lesson for west

… diplomats left declaring they had made no progress at all.”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/3b44ddb8-a683-11e1-aef2-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1w1gdLbLX

and…

Iran has also… cleansed another site where the agency has said it suspects that the country has conducted explosive experiments that could be relevant to the production of a nuclear weapon.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/31/world/middleeast/nuclear-inspectors-confirm-iranian-progress.html?_r=1&hp&pagewanted=print

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Mostafa’s ultimate goal was the annihilation of Israel.

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/02/iranian_wife_admits_slain_husband_wanted_to_annihilate_israel.html

[ That  from Mostafa's surviving wife, no less.]

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While optimal, 93-percent–enriched ‘bomb grade’ material is not necessary for producing a nuclear bomb.  The weapon that devastated Hiroshima was only 80 percent enriched.   In fact, bombs can be made out of material with enrichments as low as 6 percent…

http://www.nationalreview.com/blogs/print/292774

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Nuclear Tests?

… Western intelligence agencies detected two nuclear weapons tests in North Korea in 2010, and that one or both of them might have been conducted for Iran.

http://pjmedia.com/spengler/2012/03/04/did-iran-test-a-nuclear-bomb-in-north-korea-in-2010/?print=1

and…

 … the [Iranian] crews may be trying to erase evidence of tests of a small neutron device used to set off a nuclear explosion.”

http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012-03-07/iran-nuclear-spy-clean-up/53400694/1

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“… some security experts see the reference as an allusion to the Hebrew word for Esther…

http://myblessedhope.com/2010/10/03/possible-biblical-clue-seen-in-computer-worm-hitting-iran/

[For those of you who have no idea why that's both very clever and very funny, you can find out  here . )

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Iran is running out of people, and it is running out of oil, and it will run out of oil just about when it most needs the revenue to support the retirement of its own 'baby boom' of the 1960s and 1970s.  That is why Iran has a rational reason to take risks that might seem insane and self-destructive to countries less beset by existential risks.

http://pjmedia.com/spengler/2012/02/29/irans-rational-suicide/?print=1

[Yes, as ASND attempts to provide in all the articles we cite, the data for that prediction are presented in the article.]

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Arab Responses:

Iran’s race towards a nuclear bomb is causing its Arab adversaries to contemplate building their own weapons…

http://frontpagemag.com/2011/08/16/the-arab-spring-and-the-arab-bomb/print/

and…

Saudis, Egypt will seek nukes if Iran gets them

http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=245861

and…

Arab nations pressing for Iran strike

Saudis, Gulf Arab allies have been pushing U.S. to take action by year’s end

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=369393

Yet, the impending and inevitable Israeli attack (which will be  anything   but  the first) may not even involve Iran’s air defenses.

A senior Iranian Revolutionary Guard commander killed in an explosion at an ammunition depot last week was testing an intercontinental missile when the blast occurred...”

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/M/ML_IRAN_EXPLOSION?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-11-19-07-47-40

and…

Gulf States on Arms Buying Binge to Counter Iran Threat

http://pjmedia.com/blog/gulf-states-on-arms-buying-binge-to-counter-iran-threat/?print=1

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Israel’s Responses:

Report: Israel improving nuclear abilities

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4141933,00.html

and…

Israel Test Fires Missile That Can Hit Iran

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2011/11/02/israel-test-fires-missile-that-can-hit-iran-1866648425/?test=latestnews

and…

Israel strengthens nuclear deterrent against Iran with fleet of German subs

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/02/israel_strengthens_nuclear_deterrent_against_iran_with_fleet_of_german_subs.html

and…

“… we are fighting…a secret war against the Tehran regime.  A long essay in the New York Times Sunday Magazine says just that (while insisting that most of the action is being carried out by Israel’s Mossad, not our spooks).”

http://pjmedia.com/michaelledeen/2012/01/30/when-did-the-war-start-or-did-it/?print=1

and…

Israel Vice PM: Military strike can hit all of Iran’s nuclear facilities

Explosion at Iranian missile base (in November) targeted missile system that would have threatened the U.S.

http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/israel-vice-pm-military-strike-can-hit-all-of-iran-s-nuclear-facilities-1.410626

and…

[Israel's] Arrow missile defense system successfully tested

http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=257305

and…

Israel has dispatched a number of naval vessels – under cover – into the Arabian Sea, and they are moving into its northern regions, just off of Iran…

http://www.wnd.com/2012/02/covert-ops-have-israel-placing-ships-in-position/print/

and…

Israeli attack on Iran would be complex operation

http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012-02-13/israel-iran-attack/53083160/1

and…

Rühle is highly confident that Israel could knock out Iran’s nuclear program for a decade or more with about 25 of its 87 F-15 fighter-bombers and a smaller number of its F-16s.

http://pjmedia.com/spengler/2012/02/17/logistics-of-an-israeli-strike-on-iran-an-informed-view-from-germany/?print=1

[ASND isn't sure how Mr. Rühle would know that, but if he does, we wonder why Mr. Obama doesn't.]

[Hmm...]

and…

Israel asks U.S. for arms that could aid Iran strike

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/08/us-iran-nuclear-israel-usa-idUSBRE82717220120308

and…

Pentagon’s 30,000-pound bunker-buster ‘superbomb’ ready for use

US military chiefs openly admitted the weapon was built to attack the fortified nuclear facilities of ‘rogue states’ such as Iran and North Korea.

http://www.rt.com/news/massive-ordnance-penetrator-bomb-bunker-buster-144/

and…

Israel upgrades missile defense system

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/08/05/israel-upgrades-missile-defense-system/?test=latestnews

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Iran prepping for missile attack on Israel

Mullah regime would try to blanket Jewish state with blasts

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=365765

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The Norks & Iran:

Hundreds of N. Korean nuclear and missile experts working in Iran

http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/northkorea/2011/11/12/0401000000AEN20111112002600315.HTML

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Iran, Arabs & Palestinians:

Iran’s Proxy War from Gaza

http://frontpagemag.com/2011/11/01/iran%e2%80%99s-proxy-war-from-gaza/print/

and…

Islamic Jihad leader: Hamas rockets ‘Iranian made’

http://www.jpost.com/LandedPages/PrintArticle.aspx?id=292584

and…

Iran Behind Katyushas in Galilee?

http://frontpagemag.com/2011/11/30/iran-behind-katyushas-in-galilee/print/

and…

Iran dispatches Hezbollah terror cells to attack

Goal is to intimidate until nuclear capability can be announced

http://www.wnd.com/2012/01/iran-dispatches-hezbollah-terror-cells-to-attackhttpwp-wnd-comp110553previewtrue/print/

and…

“The Hezb’allah movement in Lebanon has been stepping up the intensity of its preparations for war with Israel in recent months…”

http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/02/hezballahs_missiles.html

[Yes, the Iranian connection to Hizballah is mentioned (albeit briefly) in that article.]

and…

Iran to deploy 15,000 troops to help Syria’s Assad

http://www.infowars.com/latest-iran-deploys-15000-troops-to-help-syrias-assad/

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U.S. & Israel:

U.S., Israel Discuss Triggers for Bombing Iran’s Nuclear Infrastructure

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/12/28/u-s-israel-discuss-triggers-for-bombing-iran-s-nuclear-infrastructure.html

And what circumstances might those “triggers” include?

U.S. Fifth Fleet says won’t allow Hormuz disruption

http://news.yahoo.com/u-fifth-fleet-says-wont-allow-hormuz-disruption-080713582.html

and…

Bunker buster bombs from US may be defective

http://www.jpost.com/LandedPages/PrintArticle.aspx?id=250992

and…

Israel, US to hold largest ever missile defense exercise this spring; thousands of US soldiers will be deployed in Israel.

http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=250249

and…

Israelis reportedly don’t plan to notify [Obama] if decision made to strike Iran

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/02/27/israelis-reportedly-dont-plan-to-notify-us-if-decision-made-to-strike-iran/

and…

Netanyahu says Israel won’t need U.S. OK to hit Iran

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/mar/15/netanyahu-says-israel-wont-need-us-ok-to-hit-iran/

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Iran preparing now for Armageddon

Select fighters being described as ‘Soldiers of Imam Mahdi’

http://www.wnd.com/2012/01/iran-preparing-now-for-armageddon/print/

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The Venezuelan Missile Crisis

http://frontpagemag.com/2012/01/24/the-venezuelan-missile-crisis/print/

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Iran’s military has trumped its religious apparatus

http://freebeacon.com/whos-the-boss-2/

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Iran making anthrax at secret plant

Weaponization efforts also include deadly encephalitis, ‘yellow grain’

http://www.wnd.com/2012/12/iran-making-anthrax-at-secret-plant/print/

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REPORT: Nuclear Iran would ‘double’ oil prices, cost millions of U.S. jobs

http://freebeacon.com/the-economic-consequences-of-iranian-nukes/

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Canada cuts ties with Iran, closes embassy, orders Iranian diplomats home

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/Canada+closes+embassy+Iran/7206256/story.html

[Hmm...]

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Despite the evidence above, some naysayers persist.

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Former high-ranking defense officials and regional experts say that neither the U.S. nor Israel can stop Iran from producing a nuclear weapon.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/feb/27/attacking-nuke-sites-may-only-slow-progress/

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Israel shelves Iran military option

U.N. ambassador says diplomacy needs more time

http://www.wnd.com/2012/03/israel-shelves-iran-military-option/print/

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On 3/19/12, we also saw this.

Israelis agree Iran hasn’t decided to construct nuclear bomb

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/03/19/israelis-agree-iran-hasnt-decided-to-construct-nuclear-bomb/#ixzz1pXXAvQoC?test=latestnews

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